India–Bangladesh Ganga Water Sharing Treaty (1996) – Limits, Lessons and Lead

 

India–Bangladesh Ganga Water Sharing Treaty (1996)

India-Bangladesh Water Sharing Treaty
Source: Policy Prism Artwork

On December 12, 1996, India’s then Prime Minister Shri. HD Deve Gowda and his Bangladeshi counterpart, Smt. Sheikh Hasina, signed the Ganga Water Sharing Treaty for a 30-year period which remains one of the most significant water-sharing agreements.

Now after almost three decades when we are nearing the expiry of this treaty in December 2026, let’s look at it from the perspective of dealing with climate stress and water scare future.

Historical Background of the India–Bangladesh Ganga Water Sharing Treaty (1996)

A Timeline of the major events revolving around the treaty is described in the image below.

 India-Bangladesh Water Sharing Treaty

Source: Policy Prism

Key Provisions of the India–Bangladesh Ganga Water Sharing Treaty (1996)

Primary focus on water flows during dry season i.e., from January to May
Water sharing formula was decided based on 40 years average water flows at Farakka Barrage-

  • If water flow < 70000 cusecs- 50:50 sharing by India and Bangladesh
  • If 70000 cusecs < water flow < 75000 cusecs – Bangladesh 35000 cusecs and balance India
  • If water flow > 75000 cusecs- India 75000 cusecs and Bangladesh rest
  • If water flow < 50000 cusecs- emergency adjustments

Daily monitoring and submission of annual reports
Provision of fail-safe mechanism

Challenges

At the time of signing the treaty, climate change was not a major issue and therefore was not central to the treaty dialogue.
Today, unavoidable circumstances such as erratic monsoons, lean season flows and rising water demands need much more attention.
Further, river health, environmental flows and basin ecosystem were least considered or overshadowed which are crucial for sustainable water governance systems. 

Why this India–Bangladesh Ganga Water Sharing Treaty (1996) matters

The treaty is one of the few examples in South-east Asia of sustained water cooperation agreement and paves way for other water related disputes such as the Teesta River. The synergy proved that despite challenges, willingness and cooperation between the two sides to keep long-term humane and economic relations can definitely solve long standing political problems and offers a learning opportunity to other nations as well.

What to expect from renewal of the treaty in 2026, if at all it happens

In my opinion, the government should consider shifting from rigid allocation-based sharing to climate responsive mechanisms that adjusts through drought or extreme low-flows seasons. Secondly, in this digital age, institutionalizing a real-time data sharing by creating a joint digital hydrology platform would reduce mistrust and improve and fasten decision making. Thirdly, integrate nearby states, local governments, FPOs and fisher communities to reduce centre-state tensions. Finally, river health and basin ecosystem should be incorporated in future agreements.

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